ISSUE ON GLOBAL CLIMATE AND GREENHOUSE EFFECT

SHOULD THE NATIONS OF THE WORLD COMMIT TO SPECIFIC GOALS FOR THE REDUCTION OF GREENHOUSE GASES?

C. Ophardt, Professor of Chemistry, Elmhurst College; Elmhurst, IL. Copyright 1997

Issue 1 Introduction
Debate Question
Internet Resource Sites



GLOBAL CLIMATE WARMING DEBATE

The final part of this exercise is the "Global Warming Debate ", where you will use the information and concepts from all the sources to engage other students in a general debate. The instructor will divide the class into groups for the debate. The groups should eventually reach a consensus on one of the the options listed below.
The "United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change" was adopted by a large number of nations at the 1992 "Earth Summit" in Rio de Janeiro.

General reference:

http://www.unep.ch/iuc/

Click on Climate Change or go directly to
Beginners Guide to The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change

For more information to be used in the debate check out some of the Internet Resources lower on this page.

At this time firm targets and timetables were established in 1997, in a new effort in Koyto, Japan. A summary of the Koyto Agreement.

2. ...endorse the Second Assessment Report of the IPCC as currently the most comprehensive and authoritative assessment of the science of climate change, its impacts and response options now available. ....should provide a scientific basis for urgently strengthening action at the global, regional and national levels, ... to limit and reduce emissions of greenhouse gases, and for all Parties to support the development of a Protocol; and note the findings of the IPCC, in particular the following:
- The balance of evidence suggests a discernible human influence on global climate. Without specific policies to mitigate climate change, the global average surface temperature relative to 1990 is projected to increase by about 2 C (between 1 C and 3.5 C) by 2100; average sea level is projected to rise by about 50 centimeters (between 15 and 95 centimeters) above present levels by 2100. Stabilization of atmospheric concentrations at twice preindustrial levels will eventually require global emissions to be less than 50 per cent of current levels;
- The projected changes in climate will result in significant, often adverse, impacts on many ecological systems and socioeconomic sectors, including food supply and water resources, and on human health. In some cases, the impacts are potentially irreversible; developing countries and small island countries are typically more vulnerable to climate change;
- Significant reductions in net greenhouse gas emissions are technically possible and economically feasible by utilizing an array of technology policy measures that accelerate technology development, diffusion and transfer; and significant no regrets opportunities are available in most countries to reduce net greenhouse gas emissions;

8. Instruct their representatives to accelerate negotiations on the text of a legally-binding protocol or another legal instrument to be completed in due time ...regarding:

* policies and measures including, as appropriate, regarding energy, transport, industry, agriculture, forestry, waste management, economic instruments, institutions and mechanisms;

*quantified legally-binding objectives for emission limitations and significant overall reductions within specified timeframes, such as 2005, 2010, 2020, with respect to their anthropogenic emissions by sources and removals by sinks of greenhouse gases not controlled by the Montreal Protocol;"

DEBATE QUESTION: Should the U.S. Senate ratify the Koyto Treaty and agree to quantified legally-binding objectives for greenhouse gas emission limitations and significant overall reductions within specified timeframes?

 MON. LAB

 TUES. LAB

 Option # 1 Yes: Students A-L  Option # 1 Yes: Students A- P
 Option # 2 No: Students M-W  Option # 2 No: Students R-S


Option # 1:
Yes. Establish an international agreement on a long term goal for stabilizing greenhouse gas emissions in the atmosphere at a level that minimizes the risks to the biosphere and to human societies, with a specific commitment to stabilize carbon dioxide emissions at 1990 levels by the year 2010.

If you endorse this position, make some recommendations about how to reduce the use of fossil fuels.

Option # 2: No. No action is needed because the "theory" of global warming caused by the burning of fossil fuels, is an unsupported assumption. Continued research is necessary, before any costly counter measures are implemented.

Various theoretical climate models used to predict future warming can not be relied upon and are not validated by existing climate record.

On-Line Discussion Response

INTERNET RESOURCES:

Climate Change Information Kit- the Climate Change Convention - contains quuite a few links.

Greenhouse Effect Australia
This is a very brief article and includes a few graphics and glossary of terms.

Global Climate Change Information Programme - comprehensive series of short essays and fact sheets.

Global Warming: Myth vs. Facts, Envrironmental Defense Fund Pro side

GLOBAL WARMING HOT AIR: SOME POPULAR MYTHS DISPELLED -pro

Myths of Global Warming National Center for Policy Analysis -Brief Analysis more on the pro side

Global Warming Alert: A Primer on the Issue

Climate Models: How Reliable are their Predictions? A comprehensive look at how models are constructed, used, and an evaluation of the predictions made from these models.

Examination of Climate Model Predictions vs. Actual Facts - Reputable source - more of a NO slant. Contains a Greenhouse Scored Card about half way down the article.

Kyoto Compromise - the latest agreements reached in December of 1997. Look also at some of the Newspaper articles on the bottom of the page as they give some pros and cons.

Sites that have more of a NO side slant:

Global Climate - contains some skeptics links - more toward the bottom of the pages.

Global Warming Skeptic's page

Still Waiting for Greenhouse A Lukewarm View of Global Warming by - John L. Daly

World Climate Report gives contrary views on global warming. Look at the Current Features section to get a long list of articles from past issues. Might be slow in loading.

Greenhouse Warming: Fact, Hypothesis, or Myth? Careful examination of data from a scientific skeptic.

The Kyoto Protocol--Bad for the Environment?

Global Warming Information Page


DEBATE QUESTION: Should the U.S. Senate ratify the Koyto Treaty and agree to quantified legally-binding objectives for greenhouse gas emission limitations and significant overall reductions within specified timeframes?

On-Line Discussion Response



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